NDA 15 Seats Short Of Magic Figure: Survey

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As per the India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, NDA will fall short of the magic figure by 15 Seats in the 2019 Lok Sabha Polls.

Majority required to form the Government is 272 Seats in the 543-Members Lok Sabha. While NDA bags 257 Seats, UPA manages to get 146 Seat. NDA includes BJP, Shiv Sena, Akali Dal, JD (U), LJP, NPP, INRC, Mizo National Front, Apna Dal, Sikkim Democratic Front, PMK, NDPP. UPA includes Congress, RJD, DMK, TDP, NCP, JD (S), RLD, RSP, National Conference, JMM, IUML, Kerala Congress (Mani) and RLSP.

As much as 140 Seats will be bagged by Other Regional Parties which are not part of either NDA or UPA. These Parties include SP, BSP, AIADMK, TMC, TRS, BJD, YCP, Left Front, AAP, AIMIM, PDP, AIUDF, INLD, JVM (P), AMMK and Independents.

NDA could receive 37.15 percent vote share. While UPA settles for 29.92 percent vote share, Others attain 32.93 percent vote share.

Within NDA, BJP is likely to win 233 seats. JD (U) 11, Shiv Sena 8, Akali Dal 5, LJP 3, PMK 1, NDPP 1, AINRC 1, NPP 1, SDF 1, Apna Dal 1 and MNF 1.

Within UPA, Congress would win 85 seats. DMK 21, RJD 10, NCP 9, TDP 4, JMM 4, JD (S) 4, RLD 2, JK National Conference 2, IUML 2, RLSP 1, RSP 1 and Kerala Congress (M).

Within Others, Mamata Banerjee's TMC could win 26 seats, Akhilesh Yadav's SP might bag 20 seats, Jagan's YCP gets 19 seats, KCR's TRS might win 16 seats, Mayawati's BSP is likely to win 15 seats, BJD 13, AIADMK 10, AMMK 4, Left Front 8, Aam Admi Party 2, AIUDF 2, PDP 1, JVM (P) 1 and AIMIM 1.

Statewise Break-Up:

Uttar Pradesh: BJP 40, BSP 15, SP 20, Congress 2, RLD 2, Apna Dal 1

Uttarakhand: BJP 4, Congress 1; Rajasthan: BJP 15, Congress 10

West Bengal: Trinamool Congress 26, BJP 10, Congress 2, Left Front 4

Odisha: Biju Janata Dal 13, BJP 8; Madhya Pradesh: BJP 18, Congress 11

Chhattisgarh: BJP 5, Congress 6; Punjab: Congress 7, Akali Dal 5, AAP 1

Haryana: BJP 8, Congress 2; Bihar: BJP 13, RJD 10, JD(U) 11, Congress 2, LJP 3, RLSP 1

Jharkhand: BJP 7, JMM 4, Congress 2, JVM(P) 1

Gujarat : BJP 24, Congress 2; Himachal Pradesh: BJP 4

Maharashtra: BJP 22, Shiv Sena 8, Congress 9, NCP 9

Goa: BJP 1, Congress 1

Tamil Nadu: DMK 21, AIADMK 10, AMMK 4, Congress 3, PMK 1

Andhra Pradesh: YSR Congress 19, TDP 4, Congress 2

Telangana: Telangana Rashtra Samithi 16, AIMIM 1

Karnataka: BJP 15, Congress 9, JD(S) 4; Kerala: Congress 8, Left Front 5, IUML 2, BJP 1, KC(M) 1, RSP 1, Independent 2

Jammu & Kashmir: BJP 2, NC 2, Congress 1, PDP 1; Assam: BJP 12, AIUDF 2

Arunachal Pradesh: BJP 2

Mizoram: MNF 1; Manipur: BJP 2; Meghalaya: Congress 1, NPP 1

Tripura: BJP 1, CPI(M) 1; Nagaland: NDPP 1, NPF 1

Sikkim: SDF 1; Delhi: BJP 5, AAP 1, Congress 1

Chandigarh: BJP 1

Andaman & Nicobar: BJP 1

Dadra, Nagar Haveli: BJP1

Daman & Diu: BJP 1

Lakshadweep: Congress 1

Puducherry: INRC 1.
 
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